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Does the score warn in time?

Riven publishes its own hit rate. For every token first scored under arc-v5, we check whether liquidity was pulled or the creator sold out afterwards. Nothing here is cherry-picked, and a weak result is shown as it is.

Share of tokens in each first-score band that later saw liquidity pulled or a creator sell out
First scoreTokensLater pulled / dumpedRate
Risk12300%
Caution100%too few to conclude
Healthy00—too few to conclude

No scored token has had liquidity pulled or a creator sell out yet, so catch rate can't be measured.

What this does and does not prove

  • An “outcome” is a liquidity pull or creator sell-out that Riven's own alerts detected. A rug Riven missed does not count, so rates may be flattering.
  • Young tokens have had little time to go wrong. Rates rise as the sample ages.
  • Bands with fewer than 30 tokens are marked: read them as anecdotes.
  • Scores are evidence about on-chain facts, not a prediction or financial advice.

Counting from 2026-10-13.

How the score works